Happy New Year everyone! As we have had a jump-start to 2018 with the Star2Star and Blueface merger, it is evident that we should expect a fairly exciting year in the era of cloud business communications. What’s next to come? More mergers? Big-entrants? Advanced tech? Here are my predictions:
1 - Consolidation trend to continue
[caption id="attachment_20835" align="alignleft" width="214"]
Fazil Balkaya[/caption]
It will be no surprise to see more mergers in the headlines. Compared to the last couple of years, we should expect to see more transatlantic mergers like we did with Star2Star & Blueface and Evolve IP & Mtel. In addition to the market familiarity and operational synergies local players can bring, GDPR will also impose a significant challenge to vendors outside Europe, potentially making them targets for North American companies.
In the overall picture, RingCentral and 8x8 remain to be the two big pure cloud names yet to be acquired. Will they get acquired by new entrants or giant players? Are we going to see a bolder push from the likes of Google, Apple and Facebook? I would also expect to see Mitel staying active in the M&A space.
I also expect Fuze to finally IPO this year.
2 - Can Avaya stay relevant?
Avaya has successfully managed to survive Chapter 11, which many thought impossible. Hats off to them, but I do not expect Avaya to be more than a me-too vendor in this era, unless they completely revamp the company and innovate at a pace that none of its digital peers have managed to do so far, or somehow acquire a competitor to accelerate efforts - both look unrealistic today. The ship has pretty much sailed for Avaya and they have been a top target for enterprise migrations. Moving forward, their best bet is to convert the largest portion of their massive installed base over to cloud, and make it as seamless and high quality as possible.
3 - UCaaS truly goes upmarket
Until recently, up-market deployments have mostly been on single tenant offerings of traditional PBX vendors’ amalgamated products, whereas the SMB market was fairly crowded by the multi-tenant platform providers. Multi-tenant providers have finally realised this opportunity and are investing heavily to grab share in the upmarket. Fuze and 8x8 have been among the first entrants, but RingCentral, BroadSoft, Mitel and many others are enhancing their offerings to address larger segments. Cisco will obviously have a stronger hold post-Broadsoft merger and Microsoft is also striking back with Teams and on-premises integration.
The majority of the vendors attacking up-markets have some sort of a unified portfolio of multiple services. Unless the vendors looking to grab share in this market become competitive soon, entry barriers will be very high and only handful of players will remain strong.



